Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD remains capped below the $2,000 barrier, Chinese PMI data looms

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  • Gold price remains capped below the $2,000 barrier in the Asian session on Monday.
  • The weaker US Dollar and a pullback in US Treasury bond yields might lift the gold price.
  • Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell affirmed that the Fed would maintain the rate steady at the November meeting.
  • Market players await Chinese PMI data ahead of the Fed rate decision on Wednesday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) consolidates below the $2,000 psychological mark during the early Asian session on Monday. The correction of the US Dollar (USD) and a pullback in US Treasury bond yields lend some support to the yellow metal. Gold price currently trades around $1,996, up 0.07% for the day.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), the value of the USD relative to a basket of global currencies, drops to 106.20 after retracing from the weekly high of 106.70. The US Treasury bond yield moves a little, with the 10-year Treasury bond yield hovering around 4.90%.

Last week, the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell affirmed that the Fed would maintain the rate steady at its upcoming meeting on Wednesday, but whether they will hold the rate for December will depend on the incoming data. Powell added that the additional rate hike is possible if high economic growth and a labor shortage continue. This, in turn, might cap the upside of gold. It's worth noting that rising interest rates raise the opportunity cost of investing in non-yielding assets, implying a negative outlook for precious metals.

Furthermore, investors will monitor the Chinese PMI data on Tuesday. China’s Manufacturing PMI is estimated to remain in expansionary territory by growing to 50.2, while Non-Manufacturing PMI is expected to rise to 51.8. The stronger-than-expected data might boost the gold price as China is the world's largest gold producer and consumer.

Looking ahead, the US Housing Price Index and Consumer Confidence are due on Tuesday. The attention will shift to the Fed interest rate decision and the Press Conference on Wednesday will be closely watched. Traders will take cues from the events and find trading opportunities around the USD/JPY pair.

 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1995.66
Today Daily Change 0.84
Today Daily Change % 0.04
Today daily open 1994.82
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1917.55
Daily SMA50 1914.96
Daily SMA100 1924.42
Daily SMA200 1932.97
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2006.86
Previous Daily Low 1991.01
Previous Weekly High 2009.49
Previous Weekly Low 1953.61
Previous Monthly High 1953.01
Previous Monthly Low 1846.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1997.06
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2000.81
Daily Pivot Point S1 1988.27
Daily Pivot Point S2 1981.71
Daily Pivot Point S3 1972.42
Daily Pivot Point R1 2004.12
Daily Pivot Point R2 2013.41
Daily Pivot Point R3 2019.97

 

 

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