AUD/USD bounces back amid US Dollar weakness

  • AUD/USD climbs after a dip, finding support from a broader USD retreat.
  • Fed's mixed messages on interest rates, with Bostic cautious on cuts and Goolsbee open to three, sway market sentiment.
  • US New Home Sales dropped, while the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index dived.

The Aussie Dollar (AUD) recovers against the US Dollar (USD) after hitting a daily low of 0.6509, though broad USD weakness underpins the commodity-linked currency. At the time of writing, the AUD/USD trades at 0.6543, up 0.43%.

AUD/USD gains as Fed speakers offer divergent views on rate cuts

Market sentiment is downbeat, with Wall Street trading with losses. The US economic calendar has featured Fed speakers led by Atlanta’s Fed President Raphael Bostic, who said he expects just one rate cut this year, adding that cutting rates too soon could be more disruptive. At the same time, his colleague, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, adheres to the majority of the board and expects three cuts, though he said he needs more evidence of inflation “coming down.”

Recently, Fed Governor Lisa Cook echoed Bostic's comments, saying that cutting too soon increases the risks of inflation becoming entrenched. She added that the Fed’s dual mandate goals are moving toward better balance.

Data-wise, US housing market data was revealed, with New Home Sales for February decreasing -0.3% MoM from 0.664 million to 0.662 million. The Chicago Fed National Activity Index improved from -0.54 to 0.05. According to the Chicago Fed, all four categories that compose the index improved on the month.

Recently, the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index plunged further from -11.3 in February to -14.4 in March. Wages and prices increased during the month, while expectations for future manufacturing activity, generally improved.

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The AUD/USD pair bounced off last Friday’s lows and is climbing but faces a key resistance level at 0.6551, the confluence of the 50 and 200-day moving averages (DMA). Further upside is seen once breached. The next supply zone would be the 100-DMA at 0.6589, ahead of 0.6600. On the other hand, sellers' failure at 0.6550 would sponsor a leg-down and the pair could re-test the 0.6500 figure.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6538
Today Daily Change 0.0023
Today Daily Change % 0.35
Today daily open 0.6515
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6559
Daily SMA50 0.6554
Daily SMA100 0.6593
Daily SMA200 0.6554
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6577
Previous Daily Low 0.651
Previous Weekly High 0.6634
Previous Weekly Low 0.6504
Previous Monthly High 0.661
Previous Monthly Low 0.6443
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6536
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6551
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6491
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6467
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6424
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6558
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6601
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6624

 

 

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