GBP/USD remains on the defensive near 1.2350, investors await UK, US PMI data

  • GBP/USD extends its downside around 1.2350 in Tuesday’s early Asian session.
  • Several Fed officials emphasized the US central bank is not in a hurry on interest rate cuts.
  • Investors continue to price in the BoE will cut the interest rate earlier than the US Fed. 

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive near 1.2350, the lowest since mid-November on Tuesday during the early Asian session. The USD Index (DXY) consolidates its gains above 106.10 as traders await the preliminary S&P Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data from the US and UK for April.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers agreed that inflation in the US is coming down slowly, but remains high. Therefore, the US central bank is not in a hurry on interest rate cuts. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic noted that interest rates will have to be kept at a "restrictive level" and might only ease "at the end of 2024”. Meanwhile, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee signaled a longer timeline for rate cuts as progress on inflation had "stalled.”. The hawkish stance of the Fed on interest rates so far this year has boosted the US Dollar (USD) and created a headwind for the GBP/USD pair.

On Monday, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index improved to 0.15 in March from 0.09 in the previous reading, according to the Fed Bank of Chicago. The attention will shift to the April PMI reports, due later on Tuesday. Both manufacturing and Services PMI figures are projected to improve in April. If the reports show a stronger-than-expected outcome, this could provide some support to the Greenback and cap the major pair’s upside.

On the other hand, interest rate futures are fully priced in a first quarter-point interest rate cut by the Bank of England for August and see two rate cuts before the end of the year. The growing speculation that the UK central bank will cut the interest rate earlier than the US Fed exerts some selling pressure on the Pound Sterling (GBP). Last week, BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden said the progress on UK inflation and the downbeat economic outlook will allow the BoE to begin the rate cut cycle earlier than previously expected. Investors have priced in a 60% odds of a June rate cut near 60%, per Reuters.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2351
Today Daily Change -0.0022
Today Daily Change % -0.18
Today daily open 1.2373
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2561
Daily SMA50 1.2638
Daily SMA100 1.2657
Daily SMA200 1.2569
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2468
Previous Daily Low 1.2367
Previous Weekly High 1.2499
Previous Weekly Low 1.2367
Previous Monthly High 1.2894
Previous Monthly Low 1.2575
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2406
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.243
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2337
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2301
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2236
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2438
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2504
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.254

 

 

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