NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bearish stance persists and bulls are running out of time

  • The NZD/USD maintains a bearish stance while showing a flattening buying momentum on both daily and hourly charts.
  • The bulls got rejected again by the 20-day SMA.
  • Any upward movement that fails to conquer the mentioned SMA shouldn’t be considered a buying signal.

The NZD/USD pair rallied to 0.5980 on Monday and then stabilized around 0.5960, yet maintains a bearish outlook. While recent movements have shown increased buying momentum, significant positioning beneath key Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) indicates a larger bearish bias and as long as the pair is kept below this levels, the outlook will remain in favor of the bears.

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a positive trend for the NZD/USD pair. From the oversold territory, the index is now on its way to its middle point, demonstrating an increase in buying momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram displays flat green bars, suggesting steady positive momentum with buyers dominating the market but warns of a flattening buying traction.

NZD/USD daily chart

Transitioning to the hourly chart, the RSI maintains a positive outlook, hovering around the 57 mark but is currently pointing down, suggesting that the buyers are running out of steam in this timeframe. The MACD shows flat green bars, pointing to a more cautious uptrend.

NZD/USD hourly chart

While analyzing the broader scope, the pair currently sits in a bearish posture. The Kiwi's position below its 20, 100, and 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), indicates an overall downtrend. The 20-day SMA rejected the buyers at the 0.596 mark on Monday, which could discourage bullish traders. However, ahead of the Asian session, buyers might make an additional stride to recover that level which could brighten the outlook for the pair.

 

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.5976
Today Daily Change 0.0034
Today Daily Change % 0.57
Today daily open 0.5942
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.5959
Daily SMA50 0.6045
Daily SMA100 0.6113
Daily SMA200 0.6047
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.597
Previous Daily Low 0.5929
Previous Weekly High 0.597
Previous Weekly Low 0.5886
Previous Monthly High 0.6218
Previous Monthly Low 0.5956
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.5945
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.5954
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.5924
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.5906
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.5883
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.5965
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.5988
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6006

 

 

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