USD/CAD climbs back closer to 1.3200, upside seems limited ahead of Fed decision

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  • USD/CAD regains positive traction during the Asian session on Wednesday.
  • The USD holds steady just below a two-week high and lends some support.
  • Bullish Crude Oil prices could underpins the Loonie and cap further gains.
  • Traders might also prefer to wait ahead of the crucial FOMC policy decision.

The USD/CAD pair attracts fresh buying following the previous day's good two-way price swings and steadily climbs back closer to the 1.3200 mark during the Asian session on Wednesday. Spot prices, however, remain confined in a familiar trading band held over the past week or so as traders keenly await the outcome of the highly-anticipated two-day FOMC monetary policy meeting, scheduled to be announced later today.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) is widely expected to hike intrest rates by 25 bps. Furthermore, market participants remain scpetic if the US central bank will commit to a more dovish stance or stick to its forecast for 50 bps lift-off by the end of this year. This, in turn, remains supportive of the recent rise in the US Treasury bond yields. Apart from this, signs of an extremely resilient US economy assist the US Dollar (USD) to hold steady just below a two-week high touched on Tuesday and acts as a tailwind for the USD/CAD pair.

In fact, the survey from the Conference Board showed that US consumer confidence increased to a two-year high in July amid a persistently tight labor market and receding inflation. The data raised optimism that the economy could skip a recession this year and acts as a tailwind for the Greenback. That said, the prevalent risk-on environment is holding back traders from placing fresh bullish bets around the safe-haven buck. Furthermore, bullish Crude Oil prices underpins the commodity-linked Loonie and caps the USD/CAD pair.

Investors also seem reluctant and prefer to wait on the sidelines heading into the key central bank event risk. Moreover, the recent range-bound price action points to indecision among traders over the near-term trajectory for the USD/CAD pair. This further makes it prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before positioning for any further intraday appreciating move.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.3186
Today Daily Change 0.0014
Today Daily Change % 0.11
Today daily open 1.3172
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3222
Daily SMA50 1.3321
Daily SMA100 1.3441
Daily SMA200 1.3471
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3209
Previous Daily Low 1.3147
Previous Weekly High 1.3244
Previous Weekly Low 1.312
Previous Monthly High 1.3585
Previous Monthly Low 1.3117
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3185
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3171
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3143
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3114
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.308
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3205
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3238
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3268

 

 

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