USD/JPY sticks to modest intraday gains just below mid-140.00s, focus shifts to US GDP

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  • USD/JPY gains some positive traction during the Asian session, albeit lacks bullish conviction.
  • The prospects for another Fed rate hike in September lend some support to the USD and the pair.
  • Investors now look to the US Q2 GDP for a fresh impetus ahead of the BoJ decision on Friday.

The USD/JPY pair attracts some buying during the Asian session on Thursday and reverses a part of the previous day's slide to the weekly low touched in the aftermath of the highly-anticipated FOMC decision. Spot prices currently trade just below mid-140.00s, up 0.15% for the day, and for now, seems to have stalled the recent pullback from the vicinity of the 142.00 mark.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) as was widely expected, raised interest rates by 25 bps to the 5.25%- to 5.50% range, or the highest in 22 years, citing still-elevated inflation as a rationale. In the accompanying policy statement, the Fed said that the committee will continue to assess additional information and its implications for monetary policy. Furthermore, Fed Chair Jerome Powell, during his post-meeting press conference, said the economy still needs to slow and the labour market to weaken for inflation to credibly return to the 2% target, leaving the door open for another rate hike in September. This, in turn, is seen lending some support to the US Dollar (USD) and acting as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair.

The Japanese Yen (JPY), on the other hand, is undermined by expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will retain its easy-money policy. The BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda, however, reiterated on Wednesday that the central bank will stick to its accommodative monetary stance and added that the long-term yield rate remains stable under the yield curve control (YCC) policy. This, along with the underlying bullish sentiment across the global equity markets, dents the JPY's relative safe-haven status and further contributes to a mildly positive tone surrounding the USD/JPY pair.

The intraday uptick, however, lacks bullish conviction, warranting some caution before positioning for any further intraday appreciating move. Market participants now look to the release of the Advance US Q2 GDP print for a fresh impetus later during the early North American session. Thursday's US economic docket also features the release of the usual Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Durable Goods Orders and Pending Home Sales data. The focus, however, will remain on the BoJ monetary policy update and the US Core PCE Price Index - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge on Friday.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 140.4
Today Daily Change 0.16
Today Daily Change % 0.11
Today daily open 140.24
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 141.39
Daily SMA50 140.88
Daily SMA100 137.32
Daily SMA200 136.79
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 141.18
Previous Daily Low 139.92
Previous Weekly High 141.96
Previous Weekly Low 137.68
Previous Monthly High 145.07
Previous Monthly Low 138.43
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 140.4
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 140.7
Daily Pivot Point S1 139.72
Daily Pivot Point S2 139.19
Daily Pivot Point S3 138.45
Daily Pivot Point R1 140.98
Daily Pivot Point R2 141.71
Daily Pivot Point R3 142.24

 

 

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