WTI holds below the $80.00 area amid the fear of China's growth rate, US rate hikes

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  • WTI edges lower to $79.85 after retracing from $80.65 amid the fear of China's growth rate, potential US interest rate hikes.
  • A tighter supply caused by Saudi Arabia and Russia's ongoing voluntary production curbs might support WTI price.
  • Oil traders await the Chinese Manufacturing PMI, US Nonfarm Payrolls.

Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around the $79.85 mark so far on Tuesday. WTI prices posts a modest gain after retreating from $80.68 as investors remained concerned about China's growth rate and further US interest rate hikes that could curtail oil demand.

The Fed's hawkish stance on potential rate hikes fuels concern in WTI prices. The Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell remarked on Friday that the central bank is prepared to raise interest rates further if necessary and that the next rate hike will be determined by data. Powell also said that the robust economic growth and tight labor market conditions could pave the way for the continuation of a tightening cycle. In turn, this may limit the upside potential for WTI prices, as higher interest rates could raise borrowing costs, slow the economy, and diminish oil demand.

Furthermore, the concern about the economic slowdown in China could weigh on WTI demand as China is the major oil importer in the world. Market players will keep an eye on the release of Chinese Caixin Manufacturing PMI for August. The weaker-than-expected data could exert some selling pressure on WTI further.

In the meantime, tighter supply due to Saudi Arabia and Russia's ongoing voluntary production cuts may support higher oil prices. Saudi Arabia has reportedly stated that it will maintain production at approximately 9 million barrels per day through September, a decrease of approximately 1 million barrels from August levels.

Looking ahead, oil traders will closely watch the Chinese Caixin Manufacturing PMI for August due on Friday. The figure is expected to rise from 49.2 to 49.3. The critical event will be the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday. The events could significantly impact the USD-denominated WTI price. Oil traders will take cues from the data and find trading opportunities around the WTI prices.

 

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price 79.87
Today Daily Change 0.04
Today Daily Change % 0.05
Today daily open 79.83
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 80.85
Daily SMA50 76.75
Daily SMA100 75.12
Daily SMA200 75.96
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 80.71
Previous Daily Low 79.48
Previous Weekly High 81.68
Previous Weekly Low 77.53
Previous Monthly High 81.78
Previous Monthly Low 69.77
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 79.95
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 80.24
Daily Pivot Point S1 79.3
Daily Pivot Point S2 78.77
Daily Pivot Point S3 78.07
Daily Pivot Point R1 80.53
Daily Pivot Point R2 81.24
Daily Pivot Point R3 81.77

 

 

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